Tag Archives: Iowa

This is ”inevitability”?!Romney loses to Santorum in Missouri & Minnesota.

RRD:To date the “inevitable” Mitt Romney has lost in Iowa(though by a very small margin),lost to Gingrich in South Carolina by a wide.margin,and now lost in Minnesota and Missouri(fn1).And he did this while outspending two candidates who are themselves not exactly “Reagan-Revisted”.
Outspending,by a wide margin.
What’s more,turnout was depressed in Florida,something which Romney surrogate Sununu says is GOOD for Romney(fn2).Gingrich counters that while he lost in Florida overall,in those districts he carried,turnout was up.(fn3).
No matter how you spin this,the “inevitability” argument is belied by the reality that Romney is flatly hated by a considerable portion of the GOP.
This is NOT a matter of being ”insufficiently conservative”(the Rockefeller Republican’s pet straw man).
Romney has flip flopped on all but his two worst positions:Global Warming & the Individual Mandate(on the state level).
On those he has been ”bad & steady”.
I doubt that the support for Gingrich,or Santorum is due to much other than sheer disgust with Romney.

The condescending mantra that Republicans ”will come around”,seems more & more reminiscent of the Left’s oft repeated claim that once we understand Obamacare,once Obama has delivered his upteenth speech on the matter,we would fall in love with it and him.

There IS a precedent for ramming a nominee down the GOP base’s collective throat –while believing that this was a path to victory–under the premise of “where will they go”.
It was 2008.

How did that work out?
Oh,wait,the problem was Palin.
Mccain needed (pro-choice )Tom Ridge or Joe Lieberman to get the Independents.The base?(snickers) Where will they go?Screw em.We don’t need to worry about them.They’ll take whatever garbage we shovel down their throats.
But the independents,oh we need those luscious independents.
And they won’t go for a Conservative like Reagan…What’s that..Reagan won in a landslide?
Twice?
A fluke.
The independents won’t vote for someone unlike Romney,who doesn’t believe in Global Warming…Most independents don’t believe in Global Warming?
Well then the independents won’t vote for someone who opposes the Individual Mandate &..They oppose the Individual Mandate too?

You see the Republicans can’t win with someone who is even AS CONSERVATIVE as the average American,but Democrats,by contrast,can easily win with someone who:

1.Who can’t get unemployment below the 8% level (which he said unemployment would never even rise to,to begin with),

2.Who taught the methods of a communist who dedicated his book to lucifer(Alinsky)

3.Whose self-described spiritual adviser,(fn4)responded to 9/11 by screeching calls for damnation upon his own country.

Yet Republicans cannot win with anyone whose views on Global Warming & the Individual Mandate are the same as those of the general electorate.

Odd that.

Footnotes:

fn1.

Santorum gets boost with wins in Missouri and Minnesota – The Hill’s Ballot Box

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-presidential-primary/209331-santorum-wins-missouri-primary

fn2

Sununu: Low turnout means GOP satisfied – The Hill’s Ballot Box

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-presidential-primary/208805-sununu-low-turnout-means-gop-satisfied

fn3

ibid.

fn4

(Obama said Wright was like family to him,he was ”a part of” Obama)

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The results of the #2012 Ames #Iowa straw poll & what they signify #tcot #teaparty #tlot

RRD:The Ames Straw Poll results are in. Percentages are approximations. 16,892 ballots 1.Bachmann 29% 2.Paul 28% 3.Pawlenty 14% 4.Santorum 10% 5.Cain 9% 6.Perry (write in) 4% 7.Romney (write in)3% 8.Gingrich (write in) 2% 9.Hunstman(write in) 69 votes 0.4% 10.Mccotter 35 votes 0.2% Bachmann wins Ames straw poll; Ron Paul takes second – TheHill.com http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/176771-bachmann-wins-ames-straw-poll ….”A House member has never finished in the top two; extraordinarily, two House lawmakers finished nearly neck-and-neck toward the top. Bachmann is the first woman to ever win the straw poll. “… RRD:What does Ames signify? ….”Of the five straw poll winners in history, three have gone on to win the Iowa caucus, two managed to secure the Republican nomination and only one has ever made it to the White House. Statistically speaking, a highly coveted win in Ames gives a candidate about a 20 percent chance of even getting on the ballot in the general election.”…. …”Ames is the first real test of voters’ confidence in each candidate…..” For example, many expected Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback to take the top spot at the 2007 straw poll. When he turned up with a comparatively dismal third place finish behind Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee, his supporters’ confidence was shaken and his fundraising reports showed it. From April to June, in the first quarter before the straw poll, Brownback raised more than $1.4 million. But the following quarter, which ran from July through October, his fundraising dropped to $925,000; by the last quarter of 2007, Brownback pulled in less than $140,000. In Ames, it is not necessarily about winning, but about doing better than expected, which is why the nine candidates on the ballot this year are all downplaying where they hope to finish. As ABC’s Matt Jaffe pointed out, Pawlenty has said he will be happy with anything higher than sixth place. “…. What Is the Ames Straw Poll? – ABC News http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/ames-straw-poll/story?id=14294230

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